Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction U.S. Open - New York · Sep 4, 2026

Analysis

Carlos Alcaraz is one of the sport's premier hard-court players, and the fast, high-bouncing New York courts suit his explosive forehand, elite movement and willingness to finish points forward. Yibing Wu has earned this stage in style, coming through his previous round with a clean 3-0 win over Adam Walton on 30 August, so he arrives with rhythm and no physical mileage from a long battle. Wu is a clean, flat ball-striker who takes the ball early and serves well enough to hold for stretches, which is exactly how an underdog steals a set in best-of-five. The problem is sustaining that level for three sets against an opponent who raises his return depth and defensive range as matches go on. Over five sets the gap in baseline weight and pressure absorption normally tells, and third-round night sessions at a major are where Alcaraz tends to be at his most decisive. A straight-sets win for the Spaniard is the logical baseline, with a Wu set the most realistic upset consolation.