Sebastian Gorzny
First
Surface: Hard
Raphael CollignonRaphael Collignon

Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon Prediction U.S. Open - New York · Aug 31, 2026

Final Result

Sebastian Gorzny3 : 2Raphael CollignonRaphael Collignon
36633663796

Match Prediction

low Confidence
Predicted winnerRaphael Collignon1 3Predicted sets · best of 5
Sebastian Gorzny · 45%Win probability55% · Raphael Collignon

Analysis

This is a US Open first-round meeting between two players still building their Grand Slam mileage, and the feed for this fixture arrived without recent results or a head-to-head, so the read has to be built on profile and conditions rather than form. Collignon is the more seasoned tour-level operator of the pair, a compact baseliner who absorbs pace and rarely beats himself, a profile that travels well to a medium-fast New York hard court. Gorzny offers the bigger first-strike game and will have the Flushing Meadows crowd behind him, and on a serving day that combination can flip a match in a hurry. The best-of-five format is the swing factor: it rewards the steadier baseline and the better physical management over three hours or more, which nudges the edge toward the Belgian. Expect heavy holds, at least one tie-break, and a realistic chance the underdog banks a set along the way.

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AI-generated analysis. For entertainment only.

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Prediction FAQ

Who is favourite in Gorzny vs Collignon?
Collignon is a narrow favourite in our model at roughly 55 percent, mostly on the strength of his tour-level experience translating better to best-of-five tennis. Gorzny is very much live at around 45 percent given his serve and the New York crowd.
How many sets will the match last?
We project four sets, with a 3-1 win for Collignon as the single most likely outcome. The chance of a full five-setter sits near 28 percent.
Will both players win a set?
We make that around 72 percent. First-round Grand Slam matches between two players of similar level rarely finish in straight sets, and both men have the weapons to steal one.

Head-to-Head

Sebastian Gorzny — Raphael Collignon
1 – 0
1 career meetings
Surface
Sebastian Gorzny
Raphael Collignon
Hard
1
0
Last meetingU.S. Open - New York · · Sebastian Gorzny36633663796
DateCompetitionSurfaceHomeScoreAwayWinner
U.S. Open - New YorkHardSebastian Gorzny36633663796Raphael CollignonSebastian Gorzny

Head to Head

No head-to-head data was supplied for this pairing, so there is no previous meeting to lean on. That removes any tactical memory for either player and makes the first three or four service games unusually important, since both will be solving the matchup live. In practice a blank head-to-head slightly favours the player with the more adaptable pattern of play, which here reads as Collignon.

All predictions are AI-generated and for informational and entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. Terms | Privacy

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