Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Prediction U.S. Open - New York · Sep 1, 2026

Analysis

No recent form or head-to-head data was supplied for this fixture, so the read has to come from playing profiles and conditions. Jan-Lennard Struff is a first-strike hard-court player whose serve and heavy forehand travel well on the quick New York courts, and the best-of-five format has historically suited his power game when he is landing first serves. Camilo Ugo Carabelli is a grinder shaped by clay: excellent movement, deep neutral rally ball, real stamina, but he has to build points rather than end them, which is a harder ask against a server of Struff's size. The likeliest pattern is Struff holding comfortably in stretches and Carabelli surviving on return games where the German's radar drops, which is exactly how the Argentine steals a set. Struff's inconsistency is the main risk: when the first-serve percentage sags, the match turns into the long baseline exchanges Ugo Carabelli wants. A four-set win for Struff is the fairest landing spot, with a genuine chance of the underdog taking one set along the way.