Alexei PopyrinAlexei Popyrin
Second
Surface: Hard
Alejandro TabiloAlejandro Tabilo

Alexei Popyrin vs Alejandro Tabilo Prediction U.S. Open - New York · Sep 3, 2026

Final Result

Alexei PopyrinAlexei Popyrin1 : 3Alejandro TabiloAlejandro Tabilo
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Match Prediction

medium Confidence
Predicted winnerAlexei Popyrin3 1Predicted sets · best of 5
Alexei Popyrin · 58%Win probability42% · Alejandro Tabilo

Analysis

Both men arrive with momentum from identical first-round scorelines: Popyrin came through 3-1 against Grigor Dimitrov on 31 August, while Tabilo needed the same four sets to see off Yannick Hanfmann. That gives each of them match sharpness but also a similar amount of court time heading into this second-round meeting. Popyrin's profile fits the fast New York hard courts particularly well — a heavy first serve and an aggressive forehand that shortens rallies, which is exactly the kind of game that travels in best-of-five night sessions. Tabilo's left-handed angles and flat, early ball-striking are awkward for anyone, and he showed against Hanfmann that he can absorb pressure over a long match, but his margins tend to be thinner when the serve isn't landing. The most likely shape is a physical four-setter in which Popyrin's serve carries him through the tight moments, with Tabilo taking a set on the back of one strong return game. A straight-sets outcome for either player would require the other's serve to break down badly, which neither showed in round one.

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AI-generated analysis. For entertainment only.

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Prediction FAQ

Who is favoured in Popyrin vs Tabilo?
We make Alexei Popyrin a modest favourite at around 58%, largely because his serve and forehand suit the quick New York hard courts in a best-of-five format.
What is the predicted set score?
Our model leans to 3-1 for Popyrin, with Tabilo expected to claim at least one set through a single strong return game.
Will the match go the full five sets?
We rate a five-set decider at around 22%. Four sets looks the most likely shape, with roughly a 62% chance that both players win at least one set.

Head to Head

No head-to-head data is available for this pairing in our records, so the matchup has to be read through styles rather than history. Popyrin is the bigger server and the more natural hard-court aggressor; Tabilo counters with left-handed angles and early, flat ball-striking that can rush opponents. Both won their openers 3-1, so neither arrives with a physical advantage from round one.

All predictions are AI-generated and for informational and entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. Terms | Privacy

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