Alexander Zverev vs Botic Van De Zandschulp Prediction U.S. Open - New York · Sep 9, 2026

Analysis

Zverev arrives at this quarter-final in winning form but the hard way: his win over Quentin Halys on 4 September went the full distance at 3-2, as did each of his three listed wins over Lorenzo Sonego, all by the same 3-2 margin. That pattern says two things — his level over five sets is high enough to keep closing matches out, but he is not blowing opponents away and he has spent a lot of time on court. Van De Zandschulp is a genuinely dangerous hard-court opponent whose flat, low-margin ball-striking and clean returning have historically travelled well in New York, and he showed his fight in the 3-2 win over Zizou Bergs on 5 September, though he was also beaten 2-0 by Benjamin Bonzi on 27 August. Over best-of-five the gap in serve weight, baseline depth and physical ceiling should tell in Zverev's favour, and the German's ability to hold serve for long stretches is the single biggest edge on this court. The realistic path is Zverev winning in four, dropping a set somewhere in the middle when Van De Zandschulp's aggression pays off for a stretch.