Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Prediction U.S. Open - New York · Sep 4, 2026

Analysis

This is a pure contrast of styles on the quick New York hard courts, played over best-of-five. Bublik comes in off a 3-1 win over Jeff Wolf, a sign that his serve-and-touch game is landing, while Paul dropped only one set in his 3-1 win away to Chak Lam Coleman Wong. Across five sets Paul's baseline consistency, return depth and elite movement give him the higher floor, and the New York crowd will be firmly behind the American. Bublik's ceiling is genuinely dangerous — when the first serve and the drop shot are working he can take a set off anybody — but his level tends to swing from set to set rather than hold flat. That points to a competitive four-setter in Paul's favour, with both players very likely to bank at least one set.