Marta KostyukMarta Kostyuk
Fourth
Surface: Hard
Iga SwiatekIga Swiatek

Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Prediction National Bank Open Toronto · Aug 8, 2026

Final Result

Marta KostyukMarta Kostyuk- : -Iga SwiatekIga Swiatek

Match Prediction

medium Confidence
Predicted winnerIga Swiatek0 2
Marta Kostyuk · 22%Win probability78% · Iga Swiatek

Analysis

This is a fourth-round meeting in Toronto between two aggressive baseliners, but the gap in overall standing and consistency at this level favours Iga Swiatek clearly. Swiatek's heavy topspin forehand and elite return position let her dictate quickly on medium-paced hard courts, and her second-serve return pressure is the single biggest threat to Kostyuk's service games. Marta Kostyuk hits flat and takes the ball early, which can rush Swiatek and produce a stolen set when her first-serve percentage is high, but that risk-heavy style tends to swing between brilliant and error-strewn across two hours. Toronto's conditions in early August are usually quick and humid, which shortens rallies slightly and helps Kostyuk more than a slower court would. No recent-form data or head-to-head record was supplied for this preview, so the read is based on playing styles, surface fit and general standing rather than specific results. The most likely outcome is a straight-sets win for Swiatek, with a competitive opening set the main threat to that scoreline.

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AI-generated analysis. For entertainment only.

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Prediction FAQ

Who is favourite in Kostyuk vs Swiatek?
Iga Swiatek is the clear favourite, with our model giving her roughly a 78% chance against Marta Kostyuk's 22%.
What is the predicted set score?
We project 2-0 to Swiatek, with a straight-sets win the most likely path and a third set given around a 30% chance.
Can Marta Kostyuk win a set?
Yes — her flat, early ball-striking can produce a stolen set, and we put the chance of both players taking at least one set at about 33%.

Head to Head

No head-to-head data was provided for this fixture, so we are not quoting any past meetings or records. Stylistically the matchup asks Kostyuk to hold serve under sustained return pressure, which is where Swiatek usually wins these contests. If Kostyuk lands a high first-serve percentage early, the match becomes far tighter than the odds suggest.

All predictions are AI-generated and for informational and entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. Terms | Privacy

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