Pavel Kotov
Q3
Surface: Hard
Aleksandar VukicAleksandar Vukic#95

Pavel Kotov vs Aleksandar Vukic Prediction Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · Oct 6, 2026

Final Result

Pavel Kotov2 : 0Aleksandar VukicAleksandar Vukic
6363

Match Prediction

medium Confidence
Predicted winnerAleksandar Vukic1 – 2Predicted sets · best of 3
Pavel Kotov · 46%Win probability54% · Aleksandar Vukic

Analysis

Both men arrive off three-set wins on 5 October, Kotov edging Martin Damm 2-1 and Vukic coming through 2-1 against Jie Cui, so neither has had an easy ride into the final qualifying round. Vukic's game is the better fit for quick Shanghai hard courts: a heavy first serve and flat, early-strike forehand let him shorten rallies, which matters when legs are already tired from a long match the day before. Kotov is a tall, clean ball-striker who can match him from the baseline, but his form has been patchy — a straight-sets loss to Shintaro Mochizuki in late September came either side of two matches he needed three sets to settle. With no head-to-head data available and both players separated by very little, this looks like a serve-dominated coin flip with a slight tilt toward the Australian. Another long, tight match feels more likely than a routine two-setter.

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AI-generated analysis. For entertainment only.

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Prediction FAQ

Who is favoured in Kotov vs Vukic?
We make Aleksandar Vukic a slight favourite at around 55%, mainly because his big serve and flat groundstrokes suit the fast Shanghai hard courts.
What is the predicted set score?
We project 1-2 in sets to Vukic, with a three-set finish looking more likely than a straight-sets result either way.
How did both players reach this round?
Both won three-setters on 5 October: Kotov beat Martin Damm 2-1 and Vukic beat Jie Cui 2-1.

Head to Head

No head-to-head data is available for this pairing in our records, so there is no previous meeting to lean on. That removes a useful tiebreaker in a match where the two players look closely matched on paper. Recent form offers little separation either: both won 2-1 on 5 October to reach this round.

All predictions are AI-generated and for informational and entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. Terms | Privacy

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