Stefanos Tsitsipas vs James Duckworth Prediction Almaty Open - Almaty · Oct 23, 2026

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Fri, Oct 23, 2026 — 08:00 UTC

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The Almaty Open - Almaty clash between Stefanos Tsitsipas and James Duckworth.

Stefanos Tsitsipas and James Duckworth meet in the Almaty Open quarter-finals, both arriving in good touch after straight-sets wins on 21 October. Tsitsipas has won five in a row, while Duckworth is through on the back of impressive displays against Darderi and Kecmanovic. Indoor hard courts should make this a contest of Duckworth's serve against the Greek's forehand.

AI-generated prediction · Oct 22, 2026 · How predictions are made · Entertainment only

Match Prediction

high Confidence

Predicted winnerStefanos Tsitsipas2 – 0

Stefanos Tsitsipas · 77%Win probability23% · James Duckworth

Analysis

Tsitsipas reaches the Almaty quarter-finals on a five-match winning run, having beaten Mikhail Kukushkin 2-0 on 21 October, Aleksandar Kovacevic 2-1 and Taylor Fritz 2-1 on 12 October. Duckworth has been sharp this week as well, dismissing Luciano Darderi 2-0 and winning 2-0 away to Miomir Kecmanovic, but before Almaty he lost three in a row in straight sets, twice to Hubert Hurkacz and once to Lorenzo Sonego. The common opponent cuts in the Greek's favour: Tsitsipas also beat Darderi 2-0, and did it away from home. Indoor hard courts suit Duckworth's flat, serve-first tennis and he will try to shorten the points, yet Tsitsipas has the heavier forehand, the deeper return and the better movement once rallies extend. The likeliest shape is long stretches of comfortable holds from the Australian, one tight set decided by a handful of points, and Tsitsipas edging through in straight sets.

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Prediction FAQ

Who is favourite in Tsitsipas vs Duckworth?

Tsitsipas is the favourite, rated around 77% in our two-way model. He has won five straight matches, including 2-1 against Taylor Fritz on 12 October and 2-0 over Mikhail Kukushkin in the previous round.

What is the predicted set score?

We expect 2-0 to Tsitsipas. Duckworth serves well enough to make one set very tight, but the chance of him taking a set and forcing a decider is only around 36%.

Can Duckworth cause an upset?

It is possible. He beat Luciano Darderi 2-0 and Miomir Kecmanovic 2-0 in his last two matches, and on an indoor hard court his flat hitting and first-strike tennis can keep rallies short. Against that, he lost three in a row in straight sets before this week.

Head to Head

No head-to-head data was supplied for this pairing, so the matchup has to be read through form and style rather than past meetings. The nearest reference point is a common opponent: both men beat Luciano Darderi 2-0 this month, Tsitsipas doing so away on 10 October and Duckworth in Almaty on 21 October. That leaves style as the main guide - a big first serve and flat strikes against a heavy forehand and superior court coverage.

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